2012/2013 Cold Weather Reports

As we all know that the Water Fowl population were great numbers in the 2011-2012 hunting season, Mother Nature was not too supportive. I spoke with a lot of avid water fowlers thru out the country and the harvest reports were average to below average, and with the mild winter last season the migration was slow. The temperatures were mild up in Canada and there was limited snow fall in my location in the Northeast and southern part of Ontario.

The 2012-2013 Waterfowl population report is still in the hunter’s favor. The summer here in the Northeast has been super hot, like the rest of the country. I have been speaking to a few older people and there predictions of the this coming winter is ,” Mother nature always balance her self out.” With very little snow last winter and mild temperatures, their predictions are cold weather and snow. I also just recently received an email from a friend of mine at James Creek Outfitters { Chuck Elder } with a prediction from a representative from ACCU Weather.  AccuWeather.com Long Range Expert Joe Bastardi believes there is a significant chance for particularly frigid winters in 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 into 2014-2015.

Bastardi said these winters could be similar to winters of the late 1970s. He said, “While the most consistent of the cold is to the north, severe bouts of cold deep into Texas and Florida would be capable of affecting agriculture more so than we’ve seen in that last 20 years or so.”

A combination of factors that parallel the precursors to historically cold winters is leading Bastardi to this forecast. He said, “We have a cold Pacific now. We had a La Nina, El Nino, then a stronger La Nina [similar to the cycle] that happened in the early to mid ’70s that set up the winters of the late ’70s.”

The winters of the late 1970s were particularly cold. Bastardi believes the winters of 2012-2013, 2013-2014 and 2014-2015 will be similar. These weather patterns, plus the wild cards of volcanic activity and solar activity, have Bastardi looking ahead.

“The last time we had arctic volcanoes go off, in 1912 – similar to what we had two winters ago – the winters three years removed got very bad across the United States,” Bastardi said.

“If we put together the combination of La Nina, El Nino, La Nina again and we look at what happened when that happened before with a cold Pacific, and we also understand that the volcanoes may be involved along with the low sunspot activity, one could come to the conclusion that a series of very cold winters… could be on the way,” he said.

Bastardi said this is all part of a natural pattern of reversal which he believes will lead to a crash in global temperatures over the next nine months, from the very warm levels set off by El Nino – as forecast globally by AccuWeather.com.

In the longer term, this is all part of a cyclical event which Bastardi believes will return the earth’s temperatures by 2030 back to where they were in the late ’70s at the end of the last cold PDO [Pacific Decadal Oscillation, or El Ninolike pattern] and the beginning of the satellite era of measuring temperatures objectively.

The prediction above could be a great thing for the Waterfowl famlies through out the country and Canada.

“Always hunt hard and be safe” – John LaFluer RER Elite Pro Staff

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